Better Offensive Strategy in Basketball: A Two-Point or a Three-Point Shot?

 Article (PDF) 
Authors
Huancheng Gou, Hui Zhang
Abstract

To better understand and explore the development trend of the offensive strategies of the world’s top basketball leagues, this study took NBA shooting data in the regular seasons from 2009/2010 to 2018/2019 as the samples and analysed the relationships between the shooting score ratio and game win probability, and the practical application of offensive strategies in games. The results showed that (1) increasing the number and the percentage of three-point offenses in the game can improve the probability of winning. However, too many two-point shots can affect the team’s winning probability to a certain extent. (2) The strong teams in the NBA focused more on the outside offense, while the weak teams focused more on the inside offense. (3) Statistical data further showed that whether a team’s opponent is strong or weak, taking the offensive strategy that tends toward the outside shot can lead to a higher game win probability than the offensive strategy that tends toward the inside offense
DOI
DOI: 10.2478/hukin-2022-0061
Citation
 APA 
Gou, H., Zhang, H. (2022). Better Offensive Strategy in Basketball: A Two-Point or a Three-Point Shot?. Journal of Human Kinetics, 83, 287-295. https://doi.org/10.2478/hukin-2022-0061
 Harvard 
Gou, H., and Zhang, H. (2022). Better Offensive Strategy in Basketball: A Two-Point or a Three-Point Shot?. Journal of Human Kinetics, 83, pp.287-295. https://doi.org/10.2478/hukin-2022-0061
 MLA 
Gou, Huancheng et al. “Better Offensive Strategy in Basketball: A Two-Point or a Three-Point Shot?.” Journal of Human Kinetics, vol. 83, 2022, pp. 287-295. doi:10.2478/hukin-2022-0061.
 Vancouver 
Gou H, Zhang H. Better Offensive Strategy in Basketball: A Two-Point or a Three-Point Shot?. Journal of Human Kinetics. 2022;83:287-295. https://doi.org/10.2478/hukin-2022-0061
Key words
basketball, NBA, offense strategy, outside offense, inside offense

You may also like...